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首页> 外文期刊>The International Trade Journal >THE CASUAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND EMPLOYMENT IN THE MANUFACTRUING SECTOR OF THE UNITED STATES
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THE CASUAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND EMPLOYMENT IN THE MANUFACTRUING SECTOR OF THE UNITED STATES

机译：美国制造业中国际贸易与就业之间的因果关系

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摘要

This article investigates the relationship between international trade and employment in the manufacturing sector of the U.S.for 1961-1995.Testing for a statistical relationship between employment in the manufacturing sector and the trade deficit is done in three steps.The first step checks for the order of integration of the variables.the second step uses the Engle-Granger method to test for cointegration, and the third stip involves a vector error correction model to address the causality issue between employment in the manufacturing sector and the trade deficit.The empirical evidence in this article supports the view that there is a long-run relationship between employment and net imports in manufactured goods.In addition, unidirectionak Granger causality is found from nit imports to employment .Results from the sectoral disaggregatioin,however,yielded mixed results,which shows that during this period increasing trade revealed the comparative disadvantage of some sectors of U.S. manufacturing.
机译：本文研究了1961-1995年美国制造业中国际贸易与就业之间的关系，分三步检验了制造业中就业与贸易逆差之间的统计关系。第一步检查订单第二步使用Engle-Granger方法检验协整，第三步使用向量误差校正模型来解决制造业就业与贸易逆差之间的因果关系问题。本文支持这样一种观点，即就业与制成品的净进口之间存在长期的关系。此外，从进口到就业之间还发现了单向性格兰杰因果关系。然而，部门分解的结果却产生了混杂的结果，表明在此期间不断增长的贸易揭示了美国男子某些部门的相对劣势制造。

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