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A time-series analysis of the effectiveness of sex offender notification laws in the USA

机译:美国性犯罪通知法有效性的时间序列分析

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摘要

Archival crime data of forcible rapes for all 50 states of the United States dating from 1960 to 2008 were analyzed using an interrupted time-series design. For each state, rates of forcible rape prior to the passage of sex offender legislation were compared to rates of forcible rape after the passage of sex offender registration and notification laws. The results were mixed, with 17 states demonstrating a significant drop in rates of forcible rape following implementation of sex offender notification laws, and 32 states demonstrating no discernable change. Potential explanations for the obtained results were explored including the effect of differences in notification practices, registration practices, and the availability of sex offender treatment. Implications for future research are discussed.
机译:使用中断的时间序列设计分析了美国1960年至2008年所有50个州的强奸的档案犯罪数据。对于每个州,将通过性犯罪立法之前的强奸率与通过性犯罪登记和通知法律之后的强奸率进行比较。结果好坏参半,在实施性犯罪通知法后,有17个州的强迫强奸率显着下降,而有32个州的变化没有明显变化。探索了可能获得的结果的解释,包括通知实践,注册实践和可获得性犯罪者待遇方面的差异的影响。讨论了对未来研究的意义。

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