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首页> 外文期刊>Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture >Weather risk and household participation in off-farm activities in rural Ethiopia.
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Weather risk and household participation in off-farm activities in rural Ethiopia.

机译：埃塞俄比亚农村地区的天气风险和家庭参与非农业活动。

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摘要

This study examines the effects of weather shock on households' decision to engage in different types of off-farm work in rural Ethiopia. A multinomial logit model is applied to household data collected in 1999 and 2004. The regression results show that the level and variability of rainfall has a significant effect on the decision by households to engage in any type of off-farm work. The probability of a household deciding to participate in low-return, off-farm activities increases with lower levels and higher variability of rainfall, suggesting that households engage in those activities as a strategy for coping with adverse weather shock. Contrary to this, we find that participation in high-return activities increases with the level of rainfall and tends to decrease with rainfall variability, suggesting a strong correlation between off-farm activities and agricultural production.
机译：这项研究研究了天气冲击对埃塞俄比亚农村家庭从事不同类型的非农工作的决定的影响。多项式logit模型应用于1999年和2004年收集的家庭数据。回归结果表明，降雨水平和变化对家庭从事任何类型的非农工作的决定有重大影响。随着水平的降低和降雨变化的增加，家庭决定参与低收益，非农业活动的可能性增加，这表明家庭参与这些活动是应对恶劣天气冲击的一种策略。与此相反，我们发现参与高回报活动的人数随着降雨水平的增加而增加，并随着降雨的变化而减少，这表明非农业活动与农业生产之间存在很强的相关性。

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