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Learning and Equilibrium Selection in a Monetary Overlapping Generations Model with Sticky Prices

机译:具有粘性价格的货币重叠世代模型中的学习和均衡选择

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We study adaptive learning in a monetary overlapping generations model with sticky prices and monopolistic competition for the case where learning agents observe current endogenous variables.Observability of current variables is essential for informational consistency of the learning setup with the model setup but generates multiple temporary equilibria when prices are flexible and prevents a straightforward construction of the learning dynamics.Sticky prices overcome this problem by avoiding simultaneity between prices and price expectations.Adaptive learning then robustly selects the determinate(monetary)steady state independent from the degree of imperfect competition.The indeterminate(non-monetary)steady state and non-stationary equilibria are never stable.Stability in a deterministic version of the model may differ because perfect foresight equilibria can be the limit of restricted perceptions equilibria of the stochastic economy with vanishing noise and thereby inherit different stability properties.This discontinuity at the zero variance of shocks suggests one should analyse learning in stochastic models.
机译:在学习者观察当前内生变量的情况下,我们在具有粘性价格和垄断竞争的货币重叠世代模型中研究适应性学习。当前变量的可观察性对于学习设置与模型设置的信息一致性至关重要,但当模型出现时会产生多个暂时均衡价格具有灵活性,并阻止了学习动态的直接构建。严格的价格通过避免价格与价格期望之间的同时性来克服了这个问题。自适应学习然后从不完全竞争的程度中独立选择确定的(货币)稳态。非货币的稳态和非平稳的平衡永远不会稳定。在确定性模型中,稳定性可能会有所不同,因为完美的预见性平衡可能会限制随机经济中受限制的感知平衡,且噪声会消失,从而继承不同的状态稳定性为零。冲击零方差处的这种不连续性表明人们应该在随机模型中分析学习。

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