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Persistence of Employment Fluctuations:A Model of Recurring Job Loss

机译:就业波动的持久性:经常性失业的模型

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Standard models of employment fluctuations cannot reconcile the unemployment rate's remarkable persistence with the high job-finding rates found in worker flows data.A matching model emphasizing high hazard rates among newly formed firm-worker matches can resolve this shortcoming.In the model,matches are experience goods:consequently,newly employed workers face higher hazard rates.Following a job loss,workers may experience several short-lived job before finding stable employment.At an aggregate level,an initial burst of job loss precipitates a steady flow of recurring job loss.A simulation shows that this recurring job loss can account for the fact that the unemployment rate remains elevated for as much as 4 or 5 years following an initial jump.
机译:就业波动的标准模型无法将失业率的显着持久性与工人流动数据中发现的高求职率相调和。一个强调新成立的公司-工人匹配中的高危险率的匹配模型可以解决此缺点。经验物品:因此,新雇用的工人面临更高的危险率。在失业之后,工人可能会经历几项短命的工作,然后才能找到稳定的工作。总的来说,最初的工作流失激增会导致稳定的经常性工作流失模拟显示,这种经常性的失业现象可以解释一个事实,即失业率在初次跳升后的4到5年内一直保持较高的水平。

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