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Exploring the Historical Determinants of Urban Growth Patterns through Cellular Automata

机译:通过元胞自动机探索城市增长方式的历史决定因素

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摘要

We have adapted METRONAMICA, an established cellular automata (CA) modelling system, to simulate the historical growth of a section of a large world city. Our model is tuned to reflect the morphology of land use patterns more accurately than traditional CA models, which abstract those patterns to more aggregate spatial scales. We explore the spatial determinants of land use patterns with detailed empirical data, documenting the historical growth of West London at an unusually high level of spatial and temporal resolution. The results of the study provide support for our considered speculations: (1) that the spatial relationships between land uses and the physical environment are remarkably consistent through time, showing little variation relative to changes in historical context; and (2) that these relationships constitute a basic code for urban growth which determines the spatial signature of land development in a given metropolitan area.
机译:我们已经改编了已建立的细胞自动机(CA)建模系统METRONAMICA,以模拟一个世界大城市的一部分的历史增长。与传统的CA模型相比,我们的模型经过了调整,可以更准确地反映土地利用模式的形态,后者将这些模式抽象为更大的总体空间规模。我们用详细的经验数据探索土地利用模式的空间决定因素,以异常高的时空分辨率记录了西伦敦的历史增长。研究结果为我们的推测提供了支持:(1)土地利用与自然环境之间的空间关系在时间上具有显着的一致性,相对于历史背景的变化几乎没有变化; (2)这些关系构成了城市增长的基本准则,该准则决定了特定都市地区土地开发的空间特征。

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