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'Peak Car' - Themes and Issues

机译:“巅峰之车”-主题和问题

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This editorial overview of the Special Issue on 'Peak Car' previews the seven papers, drawing out common themes and differences. It starts with a brief overview of the emergence and characteristics of the 'peak car' idea, including recent research and discussions. It draws out the key themes from each of the seven papers in turn and discusses implications for research and policy. It concludes that there is now little doubt that young peoples' car use has reduced, but there is still doubt about how younger people will travel as they age, or how the next generation will travel; that location and settlement density effects are very important, meaning that future population distributions will be significant; and that while 'economic' factors are still seen to be important, elasticities with respect to price and income are falling, with signs of differential responses by population categories and location. In policy terms, it concludes that with the current level of uncertainty about future car use levels, rather than developing policy based on one forecast, we should be developing policy for a range of plausible scenarios.
机译:这篇有关“尖峰汽车”的特刊的社论概述预览了七篇论文,指出了共同的主题和不同之处。首先简要概述“​​峰值汽车”概念的出现和特征,包括最近的研究和讨论。它依次从七篇论文中提出了关键主题,并讨论了对研究和政策的意义。结论是,如今毫无疑问,年轻人的汽车使用量有所减少,但是人们仍然怀疑年轻人随着年龄的增长将如何旅行,或者下一代将如何旅行;位置和居住密度的影响非常重要,这意味着未来的人口分布将很重要;尽管“经济”因素仍然很重要,但价格和收入方面的弹性却在下降,并且有按人口类别和地区做出不同反应的迹象。从政策上讲,它得出结论,鉴于当前对未来汽车使用水平的不确定性水平,而不是根据一项预测制定政策,我们应该针对一系列可能的情况制定政策。

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