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Short-term Traffic Forecasting: Overview of Objectives and Methods

机译:短期流量预测:目标和方法概述

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In the last two decades, the growing need for short-term prediction of traffic parameters embedded in a real-time intelligent transportation systems environment has led to the development of a vast number of forecasting algorithms. Despite this, there is still not a clear view about the various requirements involved in modelling. This field of research was examined by disaggregating the process of developing short-term traffic forecasting algorithms into three essential clusters: the determination of the scope, the conceptual process of specifying the output and the process of modelling, which includes several decisions concerning the selection of the proper methodological approach, the type of input and output data used, and the quality of the data. A critical discussion clarifies several interactions between the above and results in a logical flow that can be used as a framework for developing short-term traffic forecasting models.
机译:在过去的二十年中,对实时预测实时交通系统中嵌入的交通参数的短期预测的需求不断增长,导致了众多预测算法的发展。尽管如此,对于建模中涉及的各种需求仍然没有清晰的认识。通过将制定短期交通流量预测算法的过程分解为三个基本类来检查该研究领域:范围的确定,指定输出的概念性过程和建模过程,其中包括有关选择交通运输工具的若干决定。正确的方法论方法,使用的输入和输出数据的类型以及数据的质量。严格的讨论阐明了上述内容之间的几种相互作用,并导致了逻辑流程,该流程可用作开发短期流量预测模型的框架。

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