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Risk assessment of the introduction of Rift Valley fever from the Horn of Africa to Yemen via legal trade of small ruminants

机译:通过小反刍动物的合法贸易将裂谷热从非洲之角传入也门的风险评估

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摘要

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a mosquito-borne viral zoonosis of increasing global importance. Occurring since 1930 across Africa, it was detected for the first time in Saudi Arabia and Yemen in September 2000, leading to human deaths and major losses in livestock populations. Assuming the virus has not survived in Yemen or has been circulating at a low level, authors qualitatively assessed the likelihood of "re-introduction" of RVF into Yemen through the legal importation of small ruminants from the Horn of Africa. The overall probability of introduction was assessed very low to medium, increasing during festival periods and higher when considering a direct transmission exposure as compared to a vectorial transmission exposure. The uncertainty was considered to be medium underlining important gaps in information that need to be fulfilled in the region. Options to reduce the risk are proposed and discussed, including possible improvements of the current Yemeni quarantine system.
机译:裂谷热(RVF)是一种由蚊子传播的病毒性人畜共患病,在全球日益重要。自从1930年在非洲各地发生以来,该病于2000年9月在沙特阿拉伯和也门首次被发现,导致人员伤亡和牲畜种群大量损失。假设该病毒在也门没有幸存或处于低水平传播,作者通过合法地从非洲之角合法进口小反刍动物,定性评估了将RVF“重新引入”也门的可能性。与矢量传播相比,引入的总体可能性被评估为从低到中等,在节日期间有所增加,而在考虑直接传播时则更高。不确定性被认为是中等,突出了该区域需要弥补的重要信息空白。提出并讨论了降低风险的方案,包括可能改善目前的也门隔离系统。

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