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Temporal and spatial distribution of cattle anthrax outbreaks in Zimbabwe between 1967 and 2006.

机译:1967年至2006年期间,津巴布韦牛炭疽病暴发的时空分布。

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This retrospective study aimed to assess the spatial and temporal distribution of anthrax and to identify risk areas in Zimbabwe. The data were extracted from the monthly and annual reports of the Division of Livestock Production and Veterinary Services for the period 1967 to 2006. The data were analyzed in relation to temporal and spatial factors. The hot-dry season was found to be significantly (X2=847.8, P<0.001) associated with the occurrence of anthrax in cattle, and the disease was found to be approximately three times more likely to occur during this season compared to other seasons. Anthrax outbreaks demonstrated a gradual temporal increase from an annual mean of three outbreaks for the 5-year period (1967-1971) to 42 for the 5-year period (2002-2006). Similarly, the data demonstrated a spatial increase in the number of districts affected by anthrax between 1967 and 2006, with 12 districts affected for the 10-year period (1967-1976) that expanded to 42 districts for the 10-year period (1997-2006). The majority of outbreaks (83.7%) were recorded in rural areas, and 11 districts were found to be at a higher risk than others. There is need to develop differential vaccination strategy, other control strategies and preventive recommendations to reduce anthrax in high-risk districts. In the medium- to low-risk districts, maintenance of effective surveillance systems and improvement of awareness is very important to detect and contain outbreaks early.Digital Object Identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11250-011-9888-z
机译:这项回顾性研究旨在评估炭疽的时空分布并确定津巴布韦的危险区域。数据摘自1967年至2006年期间畜牧生产和兽医服务部的月度报告和年度报告。分析了与时间和空间因素有关的数据。发现干牛季节与牛炭疽的发生显着相关( X 2 = 847.8, P <0.001),并且发现该疾病的发病率是其他季节的三倍。炭疽病暴发显示出时间上的逐渐增加,从5年期间(1967-1971)的3次年均爆发到5年期间(2002-2006)的42次。同样,数据显示,在1967年至2006年期间,受炭疽热影响的地区数量在空间上有所增加,在10年期间(1967-1976年)有12个地区受到感染,在10年期间(1997-1976年)扩大到42个地区。 2006)。大部分暴发(83.7%)发生在农村地区,发现11个地区的风险最高。需要制定差异疫苗接种策略,其他控制策略和预防建议,以减少高危地区的炭疽病。在中低风险地区,维护有效的监视系统和提高意识对于及早发现和控制疫情非常重要。数字对象标识符http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11250-011-9888- ž

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