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Communicating risk and uncertainty in relation to development and implementation of disease control policies

机译:交流与疾病控制政策的制定和实施有关的风险和不确定性

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摘要

Scientific evidence is one of the key factors to be considered in the development of disease control policies. It is generated using investigations into cause-effect relationships, which usually produce results that are associated with a varying degree of uncertainty. Experience has shown that taking account of these uncertainties can become a formidable challenge for policy makers when devising the strategies and when communicating them to stakeholders. The situation has been further complicated by a reduction in public trust in scientific evidence. It is now recognised that this challenge cannot be managed by simply providing more information, but it is also necessary to consider the influence that variation in risk perception amongst stakeholders has on their response to and commitment towards the policies.
机译:科学证据是制定疾病控制政策时应考虑的关键因素之一。它是通过对因果关系进行调查而生成的,而因果关系通常会产生与不确定性程度相关的结果。经验表明,在制定策略并与利益相关者进行沟通时,考虑到这些不确定性可能成为决策者面临的巨大挑战。公众对科学证据的信任减少,使情况进一步复杂化。现在已经认识到,不能仅通过提供更多信息来应对这一挑战,但也有必要考虑各利益相关者之间的风险认知变化对他们对政策的响应和承诺的影响。

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