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Changing uses of climate predictions in agriculture: Implications for prediction research, providers, and users

机译:气候变化在农业中的用途的变化:对预测研究,提供者和使用者的影响

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A series of seven studies of the usage of climate predictions by U. S. agribusinesses were conducted during 1981-2001, and their results have been reviewed to identify information to guide future predictive research, providers of predictions, and agribusiness users. Usage fell in two broad classes, for general background information or for making specific business decisions, and both classes revealed sizable increases in usage over the 21-yr period. Business sectors where usage grew rapidly included farm managers/consultants, seed growers, and food-producing firms. The increases in usage over time were attributed to five factors including growing economic pressures in agriculture, improvements in access to predictive information, improved accuracy of predictions, better formats and timeliness of predictions, and increasing employment of atmospheric sciences expertise, either in the firms or as advisors. The value of using predictions in business decisions was estimated as >
机译:在1981年至2001年期间,对美国农业综合企业对气候预测的使用进行了七项研究,并对其结果进行了审查,以识别信息以指导未来的预测研究,预测的提供者和农业综合企业的用户。用途分为两大类,用于一般背景信息或做出特定的业务决策,并且这两类都显示在21年内使用量有大幅增加。使用量迅速增长的行业包括农场经理/顾问,种子种植者和食品生产公司。随着时间的流逝,使用量的增加归因于五个因素,包括农业中日益增长的经济压力,改进的预测信息获取,更好的预测准确性,更好的预测格式和及时性以及在公司或公司中增加了对大气科学专业知识的使用作为顾问。在业务决策中使用预测的价值估计为>

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