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首页> 外文期刊>China Economic Review >Economic spillover effects in the Bohai Rim Region of China: Is the economic growth of coastal counties beneficial for the whole area?
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Economic spillover effects in the Bohai Rim Region of China: Is the economic growth of coastal counties beneficial for the whole area?

机译：中国环渤海地区的经济溢出效应：沿海县的经济增长是否对整个地区都有利？

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摘要

This study uses panel data on the Bohai Rim Region of China to test for spatial autocorrelation, and measures economic spatial spillover effects with the space Durbin econometric model. We discuss whether the economic development of coastal counties benefits the whole area. To do this, we focus on the "distance from the coast" factor, which is influenced by transportation time. The results indicate the presence of significant spatial autocorrelation in the Bohai Rim Region. Further, economic spatial spillover effects exist in this region. "Distance from the coast" exerts a significantly negative impact on the local GDP per capita but a significantly positive impact on the GDP per capita of other districts. This means that the economic development of coastal counties does not benefit the whole region. "Value of exports" exerts a significantly positive influence on the local economy and no significant influence on other counties, while "foreign direct investment" exerts a significantly positive influence on the local economy and a significantly negative influence on other counties. "Number of employees in units" exerts a significantly positive influence on the local economy and a significantly negative influence on the other counties. The factors "primary industry's share in GDP" and "tertiary industry's share in GDP" influence the local economy positively, but the former exerts no significant influence on other counties and the latter exerts a negative influence on other counties. "Rate of fixed asset investment" influences the local economy negatively and has no significant effect on other counties. "Total retail sales of social consumer goods" has no significant influence on the local economy but a positive significant influence on the others. Finally, marine resource utilization and marine output can affect economic growth positively. On this basis, we propose policy suggestions for harmonious economic development in this region. (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译：本研究使用中国环渤海地区的面板数据来检验空间自相关，并使用空间杜宾计量经济模型测量经济空间溢出效应。我们讨论沿海县的经济发展是否使整个地区受益。为此，我们关注受运输时间影响的“距海岸的距离”因素。结果表明，环渤海地区存在明显的空间自相关。此外，该区域存在经济空间溢出效应。 “远离海岸”对当地人均GDP产生了显着的负面影响，但对其他地区的人均GDP产生了显着的正面影响。这意味着沿海县的经济发展不会使整个地区受益。 “出口价值”对当地经济产生显着的积极影响，而对其他国家则没有显着影响，而“外国直接投资”对当地经济产生显着的积极影响，而对其他国家则产生显着的负面影响。 “单位从业人数”对当地经济产生显着的积极影响，而对其他县产生显着的负面影响。 “第一产业在国内生产总值中的份额”和“第三产业在国内生产总值中的份额”因素对当地经济产生积极影响，但前者对其他国家没有重大影响，而后者对其他国家则具有负面影响。 “固定资产投资率”对当地经济产生负面影响，对其他县域影响不大。 “社会消费品零售总额”对当地经济没有重大影响，但对其他经济有积极的重大影响。最后，海洋资源利用和海洋产出可以对经济增长产生积极影响。在此基础上，我们提出了该地区经济协调发展的政策建议。 （C）2015 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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