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Disaster resilience and population ageing: the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Chuetsu earthquakes in Japan.

机译:防灾能力和人口老龄化:1995年日本神户地震和2004年中越地震。

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摘要

This paper provides a framework for evaluating the effects of population ageing on disaster resilience. In so doing, it focuses on the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Chuetsu earthquakes, two major disasters that affected Japan before the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake. It analyses regional population recovery on the basis of pre-disaster and post-recovery demographic characteristics using defined transition patterns of population ageing. The evaluation framework demonstrates that various recovery measures make different contributions to disaster resilience for each transition pattern of population ageing. With reference to regional population ageing, the framework allows for a prediction of disaster resilience, facilitating place vulnerability assessments and potentially informing policy-making strategies for Japan and other countries with ageing populations.
机译:本文提供了一个评估人口老龄化对灾难复原力影响的框架。这样做的重点是1995年神户地震和2004年中越地震,这是在2011年东日本大地震之前影响日本的两大灾难。它使用定义的人口老龄化转变模式,根据灾前和灾后人口统计特征分析了区域人口的恢复情况。评估框架表明,针对人口老龄化的每种过渡模式,各种恢复措施对防灾能力的贡献不同。关于区域人口老龄化,该框架可以预测灾害的复原力,促进场所脆弱性评估,并有可能为日本和其他人口老龄化国家提供决策策略。

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