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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Forest Economics >Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: an application of the Global Forest Products Model. (Special Issue: Fuelwood, timber and climate change: insights from forest sector modeling.)
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Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: an application of the Global Forest Products Model. (Special Issue: Fuelwood, timber and climate change: insights from forest sector modeling.)

机译：对木材和森林的生物能源需求增加的后果：全球林产品模型的应用。 （特刊：薪材，木材和气候变化：森林部门建模的见解。）

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The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to project the consequences for the global forest sector of doubling the rate of growth of bioenergy demand relative to a base scenario, other drivers being maintained constant. The results showed that this would lead to the convergence of the price of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, raising the price of industrial roundwood by nearly 30% in 2030. The price of sawnwood and panels would be 15% higher. The price of paper would be 3% higher. Concurrently, the demand for all manufactured wood products would be lower in all countries, but the production would rise in countries with competitive advantage. The global value added in wood processing industries would be 1% lower in 2030. The forest stock would be 2% lower for the world and 4% lower for Asia. These effects varied substantially by country.Digital Object Identifier http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfe.2011.02.008
机译：全球森林产品模型（GFPM）用于预测相对于基本情景将生物能源需求的增长率翻倍对全球森林部门的影响，而其他驱动因素则保持不变。结果表明，这将使薪柴和工业原木的价格趋于一致，到2030年将工业原木的价格提高近30％。锯材和板材的价格将高出15％。纸的价格将高出3％。同时，所有国家对所有人造木材产品的需求都将降低，但在具有竞争优势的国家中产量将增加。到2030年，木材加工业的全球增加值将降低1％。世界森林储量将减少2％，亚洲森林将减少4％。这些影响因国家/地区而异。数字对象标识符http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfe.2011.02.008

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