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Approximating the long-term behaviour of a model for parasitic infection

机译:近似模型的寄生虫感染的长期行为

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摘要

In a companion paper two stochastic models, useful for the initial behaviour of a parasitic infection, were introduced. Now we analyse the long term behaviour. First a law of large numbers is proved which allows us to analyse the deterministic analogues of the: stochastic models. The behaviour of the deterministic models is analogous to the stochastic models in that again three basic reproduction ratios are necessary to fully describe the information needed to separate growth from extinction. The existence of stationary solutions is shown in the deterministic models, which can be used as a justification for simulation of quasi-equilibria in the stochastic models. Host-mortality is included in all models. The proofs involve martingale and coupling methods. [References: 6]
机译:在随附的论文中,介绍了两个对寄生虫感染的初始行为有用的随机模型。现在我们分析长期行为。首先证明了一个大数定律,它使我们能够分析:随机模型的确定性类似物。确定性模型的行为与随机模型类似,因为再次需要三个基本的繁殖率才能充分描述将生长与灭绝区分开来的信息。确定性模型显示了平稳解的存在,可以作为在随机模型中模拟拟均衡的理由。主机死亡率包括在所有模型中。证明涉及mar和耦合方法。 [参考:6]

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