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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Radioanalytical and Nuclear Chemistry: An International Journal Dealing with All Aspects and Applications of Nuclear Chemistry >A sensitivity and probability analysis of the safety of deep geological repositories situated in crystalline rock
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A sensitivity and probability analysis of the safety of deep geological repositories situated in crystalline rock

机译：晶体岩中深部地质库安全性的敏感性和概率分析

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摘要

The aim of this paper is to present the sensitivity and probability analysis of a model of the Czech safety concept of deep geological waste repository. The sensitivity analysis was performed for a set of critical radionuclides, C-14, Cl-36, Se-79, I-129 and Ra-226 using a variance based method. The main contributors to the variance of model output were identified. It was shown that, if the model output is properly transformed before performing sensitivity analysis, then the calculated sensitivity coefficients are robust indicators of the importance of uncertainties of the individual parameters.
机译：本文的目的是介绍捷克深层地质废物处置库安全概念模型的敏感性和概率分析。使用基于方差的方法对一组关键放射性核素C-14，Cl-36，Se-79，I-129和Ra-226进行了敏感性分析。确定了模型输出差异的主要贡献者。结果表明，如果在进行灵敏度分析之前对模型输出进行适当的转换，则计算出的灵敏度系数将成为各个参数不确定性重要性的可靠指标。

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