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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Wildlife Management >Demographics of Reintroduced Populations: Estimation, Modeling, and Decision Analysis
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Demographics of Reintroduced Populations: Estimation, Modeling, and Decision Analysis

机译：再引入人口的人口统计学：估计，建模和决策分析

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Reintroduction can be necessary for recovering populations of threatened species. However, the success of reintroduction efforts has been poorer than many biologists and managers would hope. To increase the benefits gained from reintroduction, management decision making should be couched within formal decision-analytic frameworks. Decision analysis is a structured process for informing decision making that recognizes that all decisions have a set of components—objectives, alternative management actions, predictive models, and optimization methods—that can be decomposed, analyzed, and recomposed to facilitate optimal, transparent decisions. Because the outcome of interest in reintroduction efforts is typically population viability or related metrics, models used in decision analysis efforts for reintroductions will need to include population models. In this special section of the Journal of Wildlife Management, we highlight examples of the construction and use of models for informing management decisions in reintroduced populations. In this introductory contribution, we review concepts in decision analysis, population modeling for analysis of decisions in reintroduction settings, and future directions. Increased use of formal decision analysis, including adaptive management, has great potential to inform reintroduction efforts. Adopting these practices will require close collaboration among managers, decision analysts, population modelers, and field biologists.
机译：为恢复受威胁物种的种群，可能需要重新引入。但是，重新引入工作的成功比许多生物学家和管理者所希望的要差。为了增加从重新引入中获得的收益，管理决策应纳入正式的决策分析框架内。决策分析是用于通知决策的结构化过程，该过程认识到所有决策都有一组组成部分-目标，替代管理措施，预测模型和优化方法-可以分解，分析和重组这些组成部分，以促进最佳，透明的决策。由于对重新引入工作感兴趣的结果通常是种群生存力或相关指标，因此用于重新引入的决策分析工作所使用的模型将需要包括种群模型。在《野生动物管理杂志》的这一特别部分中，我们重点介绍了模型的构建和使用示例，这些模型可用于向再引入种群提供管理决策信息。在此介绍性贡献中，我们回顾了决策分析中的概念，人口模型以对重新引入环境中的决策进行分析以及未来的方向。正式决策分析（包括适应性管理）的使用增加，对于重新引入工作具有很大的潜力。采用这些做法将需要经理，决策分析师，人口建模人员和现场生物学家之间的密切合作。

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