The development of seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting.

Harrison M

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The development of seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting.

机译：季节性和年度间气候预报的发展。

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A review of the development and status of seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting up until 2001 is presented covering not only the successes but also identifying some of the major challenges remaining. Included is discussion on the history of the enterprise; the scientific basis of modern seasonal to inter-annual prediction and its background of predictability theory; the current status of predictions and the measurement of their skill; the experiences and consequences of the 1997-1998 El Nino event; approaches to linking forecasts with applications; and a view to the future..

机译：报告对直到2001年的季节至年度间气候预报的发展和状况进行了回顾，不仅涵盖了成功的方面，还指出了尚存的一些主要挑战。包括有关企业历史的讨论;现代季节至年际预报的科学依据及其可预测性理论的背景;预测的当前状态及其技能的度量; 1997-1998年厄尔尼诺事件的经验和后果;将预测与应用程序联系起来的方法;和对未来的展望。

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《Climatic Change》 |2005年第2期|共20页
作者
Harrison M;
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正文语种 eng
中图分类气候学;
关键词
climate; climatic change; forecasting; forecasts; prediction; seasonal variation; weather forecasting;

机译：气候;气候变化;预报;预报;预测;季节变化;天气预报;

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机译：季节性和年度间气候预报的发展。
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The development of seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasting.

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