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Circumspection, reciprocity, and optimal carbon prices

机译:审慎,互惠和最优碳价

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Assessments of the benefits of climate change mitigation-and thus of the appropriate stringency of greenhouse gas emissions abatement-depend upon ethical, legal, and political economic considerations. Global climate change mitigation is often represented as a repeated prisoners' dilemma in which the net benefits of sustained global cooperation exceed the net benefits of uncooperative unilateral action for any given actor. Global cooperation can be motivated either by circumspection-a decision to account for the damages one's own actions inflict upon others-or by the expectation of reciprocity from others. If the marginal global benefits of abatement are approximately constant in total abatement, the domestically optimal price approaches the global cooperative optimum linearly with increasing circumspection and reciprocity. Approximately constant marginal benefits are expected if climate damages are quadratic in temperature and if the airborne fraction of carbon emissions is constant. If, on the other hand, damages increase with temperature faster than quadratically or carbon sinks weaken significantly with increasing CO2 concentrations, marginal benefits will decline with abatement. In this case, the approach to the global optimum is concave and less than full circumspection and/or reciprocity can lead to optimal domestic abatement close to the global optimum.
机译:根据伦理,法律和政治经济学考虑因素,评估减缓气候变化的好处,从而适当减少温室气体排放量。缓解全球气候变化通常表现为一再犯人的困境,对于任何给定的行为者,持续的全球合作的净收益超过不合作的单方面行动的净收益。全球合作可以通过以下两种方式来激发:审慎考虑-决定自己的行为对他人造成的损害的决定-或期望他人的互惠。如果减排的边际全球收益在总体减排中大约是恒定的,那么国内最优价格会随着谨慎和互惠的增加而线性地接近全球合作最优。如果气候损害的温度呈二次方变化,并且空气中碳排放量的百分比恒定,那么预期的边际收益将保持恒定。另一方面,如果损害随温度的增加快于平方倍,或者碳汇随着二氧化碳浓度的增加而大大减弱,那么边际效益将随着减排而下降。在这种情况下,达到全局最优的方法是凹入式的,如果少于全部考虑和/或互惠,则可能导致接近全局最优的最优国内减排。

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