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The vulnerability of Pyrenean ski resorts to climate-induced changes in the snowpack

机译：比利牛斯山脉的滑雪胜地容易受到积雪引起的气候变化的影响

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摘要

Winter tourism is the main source of income and the driving force of local development in many mountain areas. However, in recent years, the industry has been identified as being extremely vulnerable to future climate change. Although the Pyrenees has the largest ski area in Europe after the Alps, there are few detailed climate change vulnerability assessments on the ski resorts based in this region. This paper analyzes the vulnerability of the Pyrenean ski resorts to projected changes in the snowpack under various future climate scenarios. In addition, the study analyzes the sustainability of the snowmaking systems to offset the climate variability of natural snow cover. On average, the study predicts a shorter ski-season length, especially in low-altitude ski resorts in a moderate climate change scenario and for all ski resorts in a more intensive climate change scenario. However, a significant regional variability has been identified for the projected impacts at very short geographical distances within the studied area. Moreover, this paper shows that snowmaking cannot completely solve the problem for all ski resorts in the Pyrenees, as the measure can only act as a robust adaptation strategy in the region provided climate change is limited to +2 A degrees C snowmaking.
机译：冬季旅游是许多山区的主要收入来源和当地发展的驱动力。但是，近年来，该行业被确定为极易受到未来气候变化的影响。尽管比利牛斯山脉是仅次于阿尔卑斯山的欧洲最大的滑雪区，但对该地区的滑雪胜地进行的详细的气候变化脆弱性评估很少。本文分析了比利牛斯山脉滑雪胜地在未来各种气候情景下易受积雪变化影响的脆弱性。此外，该研究分析了造雪系统的可持续性，以抵消天然积雪的气候变化。平均而言，该研究预测滑雪季节的长度会缩短，尤其是在气候变化适度的低海拔滑雪胜地，以及气候变化更为剧烈的所有滑雪胜地。但是，对于研究区域内非常短的地理距离上的预计影响，已经确定了显着的区域差异。此外，本文表明，造雪不能完全解决比利牛斯山脉所有滑雪胜地的问题，因为如果气候变化限制在+2 A摄氏度以内，该措施只能作为该地区的一种强有力的适应策略。

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