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Trends in marine climate change research in the Nordic region since the first IPCC report

机译：自IPCC的第一份报告以来，北欧地区海洋气候变化研究的趋势

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Oceans are exposed to anthropogenic climate change shifting marine systems toward potential instabilities. The physical, biological and social implications of such shifts can be assessed within individual scientific disciplines, but can only be fully understood by combining knowledge and expertise across disciplines. For climate change related problems these research directions have been well-established since the publication of the first IPCC report in 1990, however it is not well-documented to what extent these directions are reflected in published research. Focusing on the Nordic region, we evaluated the development of climate change related marine science by quantifying trends in number of publications, disciplinarity, and scientific focus of 1362 research articles published between 1990 and 2011. Our analysis showed a faster increase in publications within climate change related marine science than in general marine science indicating a growing prioritisation of research with a climate change focus. The composition of scientific disciplines producing climate change related publications, which initially was dominated by physical sciences, shifted toward a distribution with almost even representation of physical and biological sciences with social sciences constituting a minor constant proportion. These trends suggest that the predominantly model-based directions of the IPCC have favoured the more quantitatively oriented natural sciences rather than the qualitative traditions of social sciences. In addition, despite being an often declared prerequisite to successful climate science, we found surprisingly limited progress in implementing interdisciplinary research indicating that further initiatives nurturing scientific interactions are required.
机译：海洋受到人为气候变化的影响，使海洋系统趋向于潜在的不稳定性。可以在各个科学学科中评估这种转变的物理，生物学和社会影响，但只有结合跨学科的知识和专长才能充分理解。对于与气候变化相关的问题，自1990年IPCC第一份报告发布以来，这些研究方向已经确立，但是尚无充分文献证明这些方向在已发表的研究中得到了反映。我们着眼于北欧地区，通过量化1990年至2011年间发表的出版物数量，学科发展趋势和科学重点的1362篇研究论文的趋势，评估了与气候变化有关的海洋科学的发展。我们的分析表明，气候变化方面的出版物增长更快相关的海洋科学，而不是一般的海洋科学，这表明越来越重视气候变化研究。产生气候变化相关出版物的科学学科的组成最初是由自然科学主导的，后来转向了分布几乎几乎代表物理和生物科学的分布，而社会科学所占比例却很小。这些趋势表明，IPCC的主要基于模型的方向偏向于以数量为导向的自然科学，而不是社会科学的定性传统。此外，尽管通常被认为是成功完成气候科学的先决条件，但我们发现实施跨学科研究的进展出乎意料地有限，这表明需要进一步的举措来培养科学的相互作用。

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