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One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

机译:统治所有人的一种效果?关于气候与冲突的评论

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摘要

A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article's underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.
机译:最近的《气候变化》评论文章报道了气候事件与剧烈的群体间冲突之间的联系的科学证据的显着融合,从而明显偏离了其他当代对经验文献的评估。该评论重新审阅了该评论,以了解差异。我们认为,分歧的根源可以追溯到评论文章的基础定量荟萃分析,该分析在样本选择和分析一致性方面存在缺陷。修改后的评估解决了其中一些问题,这表明迄今为止,有关气候和冲突的科学研究已经产生了混合而不确定的结果。

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