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Dynamic activity analysis model-based win-win development forecasting under environment regulations in China

机译：中国环境法规下基于动态活动分析模型的双赢发展预测

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Porter hypothesis states that environmental regulation may lead to win-win opportunities, that is, improve the productivity and reduce the undesirable output simultaneously. Based on directional distance function, this paper proposes a novel dynamic activity analysis model to forecast the possibilities of win-win development in Chinese industry between 2011 and 2050. The consistent bootstrap estimation procedures are also developed for statistical inference of the point forecasts. The evidence reveals that the appropriate energy-saving and emission-abating regulation will significantly result in both the net growth of potential output and the increasing growth of total factor productivity for most industrial sectors in a statistical sense. This favors Porter hypothesis.
机译：波特假说指出，环境监管可能会带来双赢的机会，即提高生产率并同时减少不良产出。本文基于方向距离函数，提出了一种新颖的动态活动分析模型，对2011年至2050年中国工业双赢发展的可能性进行了预测。还建立了一致的bootstrap估计程序，以进行点预测的统计推断。有证据表明，从统计意义上讲，适当的节能减排措施将显着导致大多数工业部门的潜在产出净增长和全要素生产率的增长。这支持了波特假说。

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