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The difference conservation makes to extinction risk of the world's ungulates

机译:保护的差异使世界有蹄类动物灭绝的风险

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Previous studies show that conservation actions have prevented extinctions, recovered populations, and reduced declining trends in global biodiversity. However, all studies to date have substantially underestimated the difference conservation action makes because they failed to account fully for what would have happened in the absence thereof. We undertook a scenario-based thought experiment to better quantify the effect conservation actions have had on the extinction risk of the world's 235 recognized ungulate species. We did so by comparing species' observed conservation status in 2008 with their estimated status under counterfactual scenarios in which conservation efforts ceased in 1996. We estimated that without conservation at least 148 species would have deteriorated by one International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List category, including 6 species that now would be listed as extinct or extinct in the wild. The overall decline in the conservation status of ungulates would have been nearly 8 times worse than observed. This trend would have been greater still if not for conservation on private lands. While some species have benefited from highly targeted interventions, such as reintroduction, most benefited collaterally from conservation such as habitat protection. We found that the difference conservation action makes to the conservation status of the world's ungulate species is likely to be higher than previously estimated. Increased, and sustained, investment could help achieve further improvements.
机译:先前的研究表明,保护行动已防止了物种的灭绝,种群的恢复以及全球生物多样性的下降趋势。但是,迄今为止,所有研究都大大低估了保护行动的作用,因为它们未能充分说明缺乏保护行动的后果。我们进行了基于情景的思想实验,以更好地量化保护行动对世界235种公认的有蹄类动物灭绝风险的影响。我们通过比较物种在2008年观察到的保护状况与在1996年停止保护努力的反事实情景下的估计状况进行比较。我们估计,如果不进行保护,一个国际自然保护联盟(IUCN)至少会破坏148个物种。红色名录类别,包括6种现在将被列为灭绝或已灭绝的物种。有蹄类动物的保护状况总体下降将比所观察到的差近8倍。如果不是为了保护私人土地,这种趋势将会更大。虽然某些物种已从针对性强的干预措施(例如重新引入)中受益,但大多数物种却从栖息地保护等保护中受益。我们发现,保护行动对世界有蹄类动物的保护状况造成的差异可能高于先前的估计。增加和持续的投资可以帮助实现进一步的改善。

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