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Extinction and spatial structure in simulation models

机译:模拟模型中的消光和空间结构

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Aspects of within-population spatial structure are often neglected in the modeling of population viability. To analyze the relevance of the spatial structure of single populations to population persistence, we compared the results of three models developed for the territorial, arboreal gecko Oedura reticulata., (1) a spatially structured model in which both low and high densities incur mortality costs due to increased movement, (2) a spatially structured model in which the Allee effect is removed, and (3) a spatially unstructured model in which there are no effects of density on mortality. Compared with nonspatial model populations, spatially structured populations exhibited reduced persistence. The Allee effect contributed only a small amount to the reduction in persistence. Increased mortality at high densities caused by difficulties in finding territories markedly reduced persistence in the spatially structured models compared with the density-independent nonspatial model, TV,e argue that the inclusion of elements of spatial structure may considerably influence the estimation of extinction risk in population viability analyses. [References: 64]
机译:人口生存能力的建模通常忽略了人口内部空间结构的各个方面。为了分析单个种群的空间结构与种群持久性的相关性,我们比较了为领土,壁栖壁虎Oedura reticulata开发的三种模型的结果。(1)低密度和高密度都造成死亡成本的空间结构模型由于运动增加,(2)消除了Allee效应的空间结构模型,以及(3)密度对死亡率无影响的空间非结构模型。与非空间模型种群相比,空间结构种群的持久性降低。 Allee效应仅对持久性的降低贡献很小。与不依赖密度的非空间模型TV相比,由于难以发现领土而导致的高密度死亡率增加显着降低了空间结构模型的持久性。e认为,空间结构要素的纳入可能会极大地影响人口灭绝风险的估计生存力分析。 [参考:64]

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