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Memory Constraints on Hypothesis Generation and Decision Making

机译:假设产生和决策的记忆约束

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摘要

Hypothesis generation is the process people use to generate explanations for patterns of data, which is an act vital to everyday problem solving. It is the basis for decision making in many professions, such as medicine, intelligence and reconnaissance analysis, auditing, and fault detection in nuclear power plants. Even laypeople's impressions of acquaintances' personalities based on behavioral patterns can be considered a case of hypothesis generation. This article provides an overview of research elucidating the cognitive processes that underlie hypothesis generation and decision making.
机译:假设生成是人们用来生成数据模式解释的过程,这对于解决日常问题至关重要。它是许多行业决策的基础,例如医学,情报和侦察分析,审计以及核电厂的故障检测。即使是外行基于行为模式对熟人个性的印象,也可以视为假设生成的一个案例。本文概述了阐明假设产生和决策基础的认知过程的研究。

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