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Using Monte Carlo Analysis To Estimate Remediation Costs For Contaminated Oilfield Sites

机译:使用蒙特卡洛分析估算污染油田现场的修复成本

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摘要

Monte Carlo analytical methods may be used to prepare cost estimates for the remediation and restoration of contaminated oilfield sites. Such methods may be superior to the use of conventional deterministic cost models alone since site characterization studies for contaminated oilfield properties are seldom comprehensive efforts, resulting in a whole host of unknown values for many parameters which drive the ultimate cost of remediation and restoration. Monte Carlo analysis helps the remediation engineer to address statistically the wide range of parametric values, such as quantities, unit rates, duration of groundwater remediation efforts, cost of money, contingency, and similar factors.
机译:蒙特卡洛分析方法可用于为污染油田场地的修复和恢复准备成本估算。这样的方法可能优于单独使用常规确定性成本模型,因为对受污染的油田特性的现场表征研究很少进行全面的努力,导致许多参数的整体未知数,从而驱动了修复和恢复的最终成本。蒙特卡洛分析可帮助修复工程师从统计角度解决各种参数值,例如数量,单位费率,地下水修复工作的持续时间,资金成本,应急费用和类似因素。

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