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首页> 外文期刊>Comparative exercise physiology >A retrospective case-control study to investigate horse and jockey level risk factors associated with horse falls in Irish Point-to-Point races
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A retrospective case-control study to investigate horse and jockey level risk factors associated with horse falls in Irish Point-to-Point races

机译：一种回顾性案例控制研究，调查与马匹相关的马匹和赛马球水平危险因素落在爱尔兰点对点比赛中

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摘要

Horse racing as a high-risk sport can pose a significant risk to equine welfare. There have been limited epidemiological reviews of fall risk specific to point-to-point racing. This study aimed to identify horse and jockey level risk factors associated with horse falls and compare these to published findings for Hurdle and Steeplechase racing. The study used a retrospective matched case-control design. Relevant variables were identified, and information was collated for all races in the 2013/2014 and2014/2015 seasons. Cases and controls were matched with a 1:3 ratio. Controls (n=2,547) were selected at random from all horses that completed in the same race (n=849). Horse and jockey level variables were analysed through univariable analysis to inform multivariable model building. A final matched case-control multivariable logistic regression model was refined, using fall/no fall as the dependent variable, through a backward stepwise process. Horse age was associated with an increased risk of horsefalls. For every 1 unit increase in age there was a 1.2 times increased fall risk. The number of races ran within 12 months was associated with a decreased risk of falling. The jockeys previous seasons percentage wins was associated with the risk of horse falls. Jockeys who had 0-4% wins and 5-9% wins had an increase in risk compared to those who had over 20% wins/runs. The jockeys previous seasons percentage of falls (F) or unseating of the rider (UR) was associated with the risk of horse falls with jockeys who had over 20% F/UR having a 50% increased chance of falling compared to those who had 0-4% F/UR. Retrospective analysis of horse and jockey falls has exposed risk factors that have been previously identified in hurdle and steeplechase racing. Identification of risk factors is essential when considering future research and interventions aimed at improving horse and jockey safety.
机译：作为高风险运动的赛马可以对马福利构成重大风险。有限的流行病学审查，对点对点赛车的特异性特异性。本研究旨在识别与马瀑布相关的马和司机水平危险因素，并将这些与跨栏和斯莱普赛赛车的公布调查结果进行比较。该研究使用了回顾性匹配的案例控制设计。确定了相关变量，并为2013/2014年和2015年/ 2015年赛季的所有比赛进行了信息。病例和对照与1：3的比率匹配。从同一种族（n = 849）完成的所有马匹中随机选择对照（n = 2,547）。通过不可变化的分析分析马和骑师级别变量来通知多变量模型建筑。通过向后逐步处理，使用跌倒/无跌落作为因变量来精制最终匹配的案例控制多变量逻辑回归模型。马年龄与匹马的风险增加有关。每1单位增加年龄的增加1.2倍的落下风险增加。在12个月内比赛的数量与下降风险降低有关。 jockeys以前的季节胜利与马瀑布的风险有关。与那些超过20％胜利/运行的人相比，赢得0-4％胜利和5-9％的胜利的速度胜利的风险增加。骑行者以前的瀑布（f）或骑手（UR）未删除的百分比与马瀑布的风险有关，骑行者有超过20％f / u的jockeys，与那些有0的人相比，跌倒的可能性增加了50％ -4％f / ur。马和骑师的回顾性分析已经暴露于以前在障碍和斯莱普赛赛车中确定的风险因素。在考虑未来的研究和干预措施时，危险因素的识别至关重要。

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