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首页> 外文期刊>Advances in Animal Biosciences >A model to predict age specific calving rate from age at first calving and calving interval in cattle
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A model to predict age specific calving rate from age at first calving and calving interval in cattle

机译:一种模型,以预测第一次加工和牛的犊牛间隔从年龄的年龄特定的Cal.ce率

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摘要

Prediction of age specific calving rates, the probability of an animal having a calf within a certain agebracket, is important for modelling the biological and economic performance of herds comprised of different breeds andcrosses. However, these data are often not available whereas age at first calving (AFC) and calving interval (CI) are muchmore commonly reported, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. The objective was to use AFC and CI means and standarddeviations as inputs to predict age specific calving rates. Two variations of a deterministic model and one simulation aredescribed and tested using parameters from Ethiopia and Ireland. Predicted calving rates are compared across models andsystems.
机译:预测年龄特异性的产犊率,在某种龄布置内具有小牛群的动物的概率对于建模群体的生物和经济表现来建立不同的品种和交叉来建立。 然而,这些数据通常不可用,而第一步的年龄(AFC)和CAL舱间隔(CI)的年龄通常常见地报道,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲。 目的是使用AFC和CI方法和标准日志作为预测年龄特定的产犊率的投入。 使用来自埃塞俄比亚和爱尔兰的参数进行了确定性模型和一个模拟的两个变化。 在模型和系统中比较了预测的产犊率。

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