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Effect of climatic and soil moisture conditions on mushroom productivity and related ecosystem services in Mediterranean pine stands facing climate change

机译:气候和土壤水分条件对地中海松树生产率及相关生态系统服务的影响面临气候变化

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Wild mushrooms contribute to a variety of ecosystem services. The expected warmer and drier conditions for the Mediterranean region as a consequence of climate change, are raising concerns about future mushroom productivity due to potential reduction of soil water availability for fungi. The aim of this study was to increase our understanding of the interaction between climate and soil moisture in relation to their impact on mushroom productivity in Mediterranean forests. Mushroom yield data were obtained from 28 permanent mushroom inventory plots intensively monitored in Maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) stands of northeastern Iberian Peninsula. Annual productivity of total, edible and marketed mushrooms was obtained from measurements conducted every week during the autumn fruiting season for years 2008-2015. Historical weather conditions were obtained through data interpolation from meteorological stations. Soil moisture data were obtained from continuous plot-level measurements. A process-based soil water balance model was used to predict soil moisture under two climate change scenarios, using the predictions of two different regional climate models. Mixed effects models using either precipitation or soil moisture as predictors, in combination with other weather variables, were fitted to annual mushroom occurrence and yield data. Mushroom yield was primarily dependent on weather and soil moisture conditions during the same month, with the exception of precipitation, whose effects exhibited a one-month delay. High temperatures limited mushroom yield at the beginning of the fruiting season, but tended to enhance it towards the end. The analysis revealed no apparent negative effect of climate change on long-term mushroom productivity, but rather the opposite (i.e., predicted median productivity of marketed mushrooms for 2016-2100 was 23-93% higher compared to the current yield), mainly due to an elongation of the fruiting season arising from the combined effect of increased precipitation at the beginning of the season and warmer temperatures at the end.
机译:野生蘑菇有助于各种生态系统服务。由于气候变化,地中海地区的预期温暖和干燥条件是由于对真菌的土壤水量可用性的潜在降低,提高了对未来蘑菇生产率的担忧。本研究的目的是提高我们对气候和土壤水分之间相互作用的理解,与其对地中海森林中的蘑菇生产力的影响。蘑菇产量数据是从海洋松树(Pinus Pinaster Ait)的28个永久性蘑菇库存图中获得的。 2008 - 2015年秋季结果季节每周进行的每周进行的测量,获得总计,可食用和销售的蘑菇的年生产力。通过气象站的数据插值获得历史天气条件。土壤湿度数据是从连续绘图级测量获得的。基于过程的土壤水平模型用于预测两种气候变化场景下的土壤水分,使用两种不同区域气候模型的预测。混合效应模型使用沉淀或土壤水分作为预测因子,与其他天气变量相结合,适用于每年蘑菇的发生和产量数据。蘑菇产量主要依赖于同月的天气和土壤水分条件,除了降水之外,其影响呈一个月的延迟。高温有限的蘑菇产量在结果季节开始,但倾向于在末端增强它。该分析揭示了气候变化对长期蘑菇生产率的明显负面影响,而是相反(即,与当前收益率相比,2016-2100的市场上营销蘑菇的预测中位数生产率为23-93%),主要是由于在季节开始时增加降水量的综合效果产生的结果季节延长,并在末端加温温度。

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