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Development and utilization of water resources and assessment of water security in Central Asia

机译：中亚水资源水资源的开发与利用及水安全评估

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摘要

The utilization of water resources and water security in Central Asia are critical to the stability of the region. This paper assesses the water security of the five Central Asian countries (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan) by using the projection pursuit model based on particle swarm optimization (PSO-PEE). The results show that the average annual water consumption in Central Asia is about 1255.57 x 10(8) m(3), and the proportion of agricultural water consumption decreased due in large part to the changes of crop planting structure. For the ecological security, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan have improved their status, but Turkmenistan is getting worse. For the quantity security of water resources, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan are relatively safe, whereas Uzbekistan is at risk. For the socio-economic conditions, Kazakhstan scored the highest, while Tajikistan and Uzbekistan scored the lowest, water consumption per 10,000 dollars of GDP across all five countries is relatively high but shows a significant decreasing trend. For the water supply and demand security, the status of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are better than that of Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Kazakhstan has achieved a relatively safe level (level II) and the degree of water security is high. Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan are only in the basically safe level (level III). Uzbekistan is under significant pressure with regard to water security (level IV), which indicates that the country needs to strictly control population growth and strengthen the comprehensive management of water resources.
机译：中亚水资源和水安全的利用对该地区的稳定性至关重要。本文通过使用基于粒子群优化（PSO-PEE）的投影追求模型评估五个中亚国家（哈萨克斯坦，吉尔吉斯坦，塔吉克斯坦，土库曼斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦）的水安全。结果表明，中亚的平均年度耗水量约为1255.57 x 10（8）米（3）米，而农业用水量的比例随着作物种植结构的变化而造成的很大程度上减少。对于生态安全，哈萨克斯坦，塔吉克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦改善了他们的地位，但土库曼斯坦正在变得更糟。对于水资源的数量安全，塔吉克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦比较安全，而乌兹别克斯坦处于危险之中。对于社会经济条件，哈萨克斯坦评分最高，而塔吉克斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦在所有五个国家的10,000美元的GDP中得分最低，耗水量相对较高，但显示出显着降低趋势。对于供水和需求安全，哈萨克斯坦，吉尔吉斯斯坦和塔吉克斯坦的地位优于土库曼斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦的地位。哈萨克斯坦已经实现了相对安全的水平（II级），水位安全程度高。吉尔吉斯斯坦，塔吉克斯坦和土库曼斯坦只是基本上安全的水平（III级）。乌兹别克斯坦对水性安全（IV级）的重大压力是巨大的压力，这表明该国需要严格控制人口增长，并加强水资源的全面管理。

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  • 来源
    《Agricultural Water Management》 |2020年第1期|共11页
  • 作者

    Wang Xuanxuan; Chen Yaning; Li Zhi; Fang Gonghuan; Wang Yi;

  • 作者单位

    Chinese Acad Sci Xinjiang Inst Ecol &

    Geog State Key Lab Desert &

    Oasis Ecol Urumqi 830011 Peoples R China;

    Chinese Acad Sci Xinjiang Inst Ecol &

    Geog State Key Lab Desert &

    Oasis Ecol Urumqi 830011 Peoples R China;

    Chinese Acad Sci Xinjiang Inst Ecol &

    Geog State Key Lab Desert &

    Oasis Ecol Urumqi 830011 Peoples R China;

    Chinese Acad Sci Xinjiang Inst Ecol &

    Geog State Key Lab Desert &

    Oasis Ecol Urumqi 830011 Peoples R China;

    Chinese Acad Sci Xinjiang Inst Ecol &

    Geog State Key Lab Desert &

    Oasis Ecol Urumqi 830011 Peoples R China;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 农业工程;
  • 关键词

    Water resources; Water security; PSO-PEE model; Central Asia;

    机译：水资源;水安全;PSO-PEE模型;中亚;

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