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Foreign Trade, FDI and the Upgrading of Regional Industrial Structure in China: Based on Spatial Econometric Model

机译:外贸,直接投资与中国区域产业结构升级:基于空间计量计量模型

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摘要

The upgrading of industrial structure is the core means of coordinating economic development and environment protection. Its spatial agglomeration can also reduce environmental pollution partly. The upgrading of China's industrial structure has become an important issue concerned by the whole society. To better understand this issue, based on the provincial data of China (1997-2017), this paper strives to explore the spatial effects of foreign trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) on the upgrading of China's regional industrial structure by constructing the weight matrix of economic distance, and by introducing the spatial autocorrelation analysis method and spatial panel econometric model. The results show that: 1. The Moran's I index of China's import, export, FDI, and industrial structure upgrading has passed the 5% significance level test, displaying remarkable spatial agglomeration characteristics. 2. Foreign trade and FDI are important driving factors to upgrade China's industrial structure. 3. Foreign trade has a significant spatial spillover effect. Imports and exports can not only promote the upgrading of local industrial structure, but also radiate to other regions, promote or inhibit the development of its industry, and further affect the national data. 4. The spatial spillover effect of FDI is not significant. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward.
机译:产业结构的升级是协调经济发展和环境保护的核心手段。其空间聚集也可以减少环境污染。中国产业结构的升级已成为全社会关注的重要问题。为了更好地了解这个问题,基于中国(1997-2017)的省级数据,本文致力于通过构建体重矩阵来探讨对外贸易和外国直接投资(FDI)对中国区域产业结构升级的空间影响经济距离,通过引入空间自相关分析方法和空间面板计量计量模型。结果表明:1。莫兰的I指数中国进口,出口,外国直接投资和产业结构升级已通过5%的意义水平测试,呈现出色的空间聚集特性。 2.对外贸易和外国直接投资是升级中国产业结构的重要推动因素。 3.对外贸易具有显着的空间溢出效应。进口和出口不仅可以促进当地产业结构的升级,还可以辐射到其他地区,促进或抑制其行业的发展,进一步影响国家数据。 4.外国直接投资的空间溢出效应不显着。最后,提出了一些政策建议。

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