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A comparison of the regional investment benefits of CCS retrofitting of coal-ired power plants and renewable power generation projects in China

机译:CCS改造燃煤发电厂及可再生能源项目的区域投资益处的比较

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摘要

Carbon dioxide (CO2) capture and storage (CCS) technology and renewable power are indispensable in China's power sector to limit global warming to 2 degrees C. Because the two technologies have their own merits and weaknesses, it is important to understand their investment benefits and choose a cost-effective portfolio. Therefore, we conducted an investment evaluation of CCS retrofitting of coal-fired power plants (CFPP) with hypothetical subsidies and renewable power generation projects (RPP) by using a real option trinomial tree pricing model and compared their economic benefits in different provinces in China. The results showed that when subsidies for the desulfurization price or the feed-in tariff of wind power were adopted, the CCS retrofitting of CFPP did not achieve the optimal investment value, even in 2027. If the decarbonized electricity price increases to 0.75 CNY/kWh, equal to the feed-in tariff of solar photovoltaic and biomass power, the CCS retrofitting of CFPP would be commercially viable, and their investment value would exceed that of wind power generation projects. In this situation, Ningxia, Xinjiang, and Gansu Provinces would be most suitable for the development of CCS retrofitting pilot projects; the advantages of the CCS retrofitting of CFPP were not significant, whereas RPP was a better investment choice in many provinces. This paper provides a perspective on feed-in tariffs for policy makers to use in formulating a subsidy system to support the development of CCS in China, with policy implications for other countries.
机译:二氧化碳(二氧化碳)捕获和储存(CCS)技术和可再生能力在中国的电力领域是必不可少的,以限制全球变暖到2℃。因为这两种技术有自己的优点和弱点,重要的是了解他们的投资福利和选择一个经济高效的组合。因此,我们通过使用真正的选项三人树定价模型进行了假设补贴和可再生能源(RPP)的CCS改装的投资评估,并使用了中国不同省份的经济效益。结果表明,当采用脱硫价格或风电的饲料关税补贴时,CCS改造的CFPP也没有实现最佳的投资价值,即使在2027年也是如此。如果脱碳电价增加到0.75 CNY / KWH ,等于太阳能光伏和生物质发电的饲料关税,CCS改装CFPP将是商业上可行的,其投资价值将超过风力发电项目的投资价值。在这种情况下,宁夏,新疆和甘肃省最适合CCS改造试点项目的发展; CCS改造的CFPP的优点并不重要,而RPP是许多省份更好的投资选择。本文为决策者提供了一项关于制定补贴系统以支持中国CCS的发展的饲养关税的看法,为其他国家的政策影响。

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