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A Comprehensive Approach to Dynamic Project Risk Management

机译：动态项目风险管理的全面方法

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摘要

A large percentage of projects suffer performance, cost, and/or schedule problems. There are many reasons why projects fail, including an inadequate approach to risk management. Inadequate approaches result when a comprehensive identification of risks is not performed at project commencement, when risk assessment fails to consider important aspects, when no subsequent follow-up is carried out for mitigation strategies adopted, when no further identification of risks during project execution is completed, or a combination of these occurs. A number of publications have dealt with different facets of risk management, but not in a comprehensive way. This article compiles the approaches applied and observed by the author based on 25years of industry experience; these observations were synthesized and result in a procedure for dynamic risk management successfully applied to a number of projects. The use of a broad array of techniques is suggested to identify risks, which are then thoroughly analyzed. The assessment was performed using a comprehensive array of criteria. The complete set of criteria included essential ones such as aggregability factor, triggering factor, early warning, immediacy, and recoverability. The thorough assessment was done dynamically. The initial assessment enables the adoption of the most adequate mitigation strategies, which later on are dynamically validated. New risks are also detected and dealt with dynamically throughout project execution. The main contribution of this work is the synthesis of state-of-the-art knowledge into a state-of-the-practice procedure, which can be applied by engineering managers in all sectors and in all phases of project execution.
机译：大量的项目遭受性能，成本和/或计划问题。项目失败的原因有很多，包括风险管理的方法不足。当在项目开始时综合识别风险的全面识别出现风险的情况不足，当风险评估未能考虑重要方面时，在未通过后续行动的情况下，当没有进一步识别项目执行期间的风险时或者发生这些的组合。许多出版物已经处理了风险管理的不同方面，但并不是全面的方式。本文根据25年的行业经验编制了作者所申请和观察的方法;这些观察结果是合成的，导致动态风险管理程序成功应用于许多项目。建议使用广泛的技术来识别风险，然后彻底分析。使用全面的标准进行评估。完整的标准集包括必需子项，例如可聚合因子，触发因子，预警，即时性和可恢复性。彻底的评估是动态完成的。初步评估使得采用最高的缓解策略，后来是动态验证的。还检测到新的风险并在整个项目执行中动态地处理。这项工作的主要贡献是综合最先进的知识，以练习国家的程序，该程序可以通过所有部门的工程管理人员和项目执行的所有阶段应用。

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