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The impacts of Arctic oscillation and the North Sea Caspian pattern on the temperature and precipitation regime in Turkey

机译:北极振动与北海市北海市北海市曲线对土耳其温度和降水制度的影响

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摘要

Arctic oscillation (AO) and the North Sea Caspian pattern (NCP) are atmospheric teleconnections that affect climate parameters such as precipitation, temperature and stream flow. The purpose of this study is to identify the relationship of the AO and NCP with Turkey's mean temperature and precipitation totals. First, Pearson correlation coefficients between the AO and NCP and climate data were calculated and the results were assessed using Student's t test. Although the results vary from region to region, highly negative correlation coefficients were observed between either the NCP or AO and the temperature, especially in the winter. Furthermore, the NCP and AO have a remarkably strong relationship with winter precipitation. Second, the NCP index (NCPI) and AO index were divided into negative and positive phases; then, the impacts of both phases on the climatic data were determined as annual and seasonal. Accordingly, the annual and seasonal mean temperature values under the effect of NCP (-) and AO (-) are higher than the annual and seasonal temperature values under the effect of NCP (+) and AO (+). In this context, the temperature differences are significant, especially in winter. The precipitation amount, under the effect of positive and negative phases of global indices, was also investigated in this study. Thus, substantial results were obtained, particularly for winter precipitation in Turkey's western regions. Finally, scatter diagrams were also prepared to examine the relationship between negative and positive phases of the AO or NCP and the temperature or precipitation.
机译:北极振荡(AO)和北海CASPIAN图案(NCP)是影响气候参数,如降水,温度和流流程的大气连接。本研究的目的是识别AO和NCP与土耳其平均温度和降水总量的关系。首先,计算AO和NCP和气候数据之间的Pearson相关系数,并使用学生的T测试评估结果。尽管结果从区域到区域变化,但在NCP或AO和温度之间观察到高度负相关系数,特别是在冬季。此外,NCP和AO与冬季降水有一个非常强烈的关系。其次,NCP指数(NCPI)和AO指数分为负阶段;然后,两阶段对气候数据的影响被确定为年度和季节性。因此,NCP( - )和AO( - )效果下的年和季节性平均温度值高于NCP(+)和AO(+)的影响下的年和季节性温度值。在这种情况下,温度差异很大,特别是在冬季。在本研究中还研究了全球指标阳性和阴性阶段的疗效下的降水量。因此,获得了实质性的结果,特别是土耳其西部地区的冬季沉淀。最后,还准备散射图以检查AO或NCP的阴性和阳性阶段与温度或沉淀之间的关系。

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