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Land management to reconcile ecosystem services supply and demand mismatches-A case study in Shanghai municipality, China

机译:土地管理协调生态系统服务供需不匹配 - 以中国上海市的案例研究

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摘要

City managers need to understand how land use and land cover (LULC) change in an urban landscape can affect future land degradation and conditions for ecosystem services (ESs) supply and demand. Optimal land use and land management requires explicit spatial mapping of ESs supply and demand under alternative land use scenarios. In this study, we applied spatially explicit models to predict changes in ESs supply and demand, and their coupling mechanisms, under one baseline scenario and three stakeholder-defined LULC change scenarios (developed, planning, policy) in Shanghai municipality, China. The results suggest that the policy scenario could significantly increase ESs supply and restore degraded urban areas, but would not guarantee that supply meets demand for four key ESs tested: water retention, particulate matter removal, carbon sequestration, and recreation. However, the policy scenario significantly reduced the shortfalls and spatial mismatches in water retention, particulate matter removal and recreation services, and also greatly restored deficit areas for all four ESs. This is valuable scientific evidence that ESs supply and demand information can be incorporated into urban land management planning in a spatially explicit manner, in order to control or prevent future potential land degradation.
机译:城市管理人员需要了解城市景观中的土地利用和陆地覆盖(LULC)变化会影响未来的土地退化和生态系统服务(ESS)供需的条件。最佳土地使用和土地管理需要在替代土地使用方案下的ESS供需空间映射。在这项研究中,我们应用空间显式模型,以预测上海市上海市的一个基线情景和三个利益相关者定义的Lulc改变情景(开发,规划,政策)的供求和需求的变化及其耦合机制。结果表明,政策情景可以显着增加ESS供应和恢复退化的城市地区,但不能保证供应对测试的四个关键ESS的需求:水保留,颗粒物质去除,碳封存和娱乐。然而,政策情景显着降低了水保留,颗粒物品清除和娱乐服务中的不足和空间不匹配,以及所有四个ESS的缺陷区域也大大恢复了赤字区域。这是有价值的科学证据,即ESS供需信息可以以空间明确的方式纳入城市土地管理计划,以控制或防止未来的潜在土地退化。

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