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Effects of land use transitions and rural aging on agricultural production in China's farming area: A perspective from changing labor employing quantity in the planting industry

机译：土地利用过渡与农村老龄化对中国农业地区农业生产的影响：从种植行业的劳动力雇用数量不断变化的视角

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Understanding the impact of rural aging on agricultural production is critical for implementing a comprehensive rural vitalization strategy in China. In this paper, the planting structure is converted into and measured by the amount of labor employing quantity in the planting industry with the 2000 and 2010 census data and crop planting area data at the county level. By establishing the elasticity coefficient of rural aging - labor quantity and taking the coupling relation between the rural aging and the change in crop production quantity in the Huang-Huai-Hai region into account, the spatio-temporal pattern of rural aging and the recessive transition of land use is analyzed. The results show that the aging level of the rural population in the Huang-Huai-Hai region has maintained an overall growth rate of 27.03% from 2000 to 2010. During the research period, the labor employing quantity in the planting industry decreased by 14.18% and, was mainly distributed among the western Shandong hilly region, the Taihang and Yanshan mountainous region, and the eastern part of the Huang-HuaiHai Plain agricultural region. The spatial coupling relationship between the rural aging and the changes in labor employing quantity in the planting industry presented diversified patterns. From 2000-2010, the number of counties with three different coupling modes, namely, rural aging increasing and labor employing quantity decreasing, increasing of rural aging and labor employing quantity, and decreasing of rural aging and labor employing quantity, account for 84.90%, 11.11%, and 3.7%, respectively. To achieve the goal of agricultural development, the authors argue that in the dual context of rural aging and population mobilization, agricultural development must cultivate new professional farmers and improve the level of agricultural modernization in China.
机译：了解农村老龄化对农业生产的影响对于在中国实施全面的农村活力战略至关重要。本文通过2000年和2010年人口普查数据和农作物种植面积数据，将种植结构转换为并通过种植行业的劳动量数量的数量来衡量。通过建立农村老龄化的弹性系数，并考虑黄淮海地区农村老龄化与农作物产量变化的耦合关系，农村老龄化的时空模式及隐性转型分析土地使用。结果表明，黄淮海地区农村人口老龄化程度从2000年至2010年保持了27.03％的总体增长率。在研究期间，种植行业的劳动力雇用数量减少了14.18％而且，主要分布在山东丘陵地区，太行和燕山山区，以及黄淮海普通农业区域的东部。农村老龄化与种植产业劳动力效增数量的空间耦合关系提出多样化模式。从2000-2010，县数三种不同的耦合模式，即农村老龄化的增加和劳动力雇用数量越来越低，农村老龄化和劳动力的数量增加，以及农村老龄化和劳动力雇用数量的减少，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％，占84.90％分别为11.11％和3.7％。为实现农业发展的目标，提交人认为，在农村老龄化和人口动员的双重背景下，农业发展必须培养新的专业农民，提高我国农业现代化水平。

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