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Estimating the dynamic effects of socioeconomic development on industrial SO2 emissions in Chinese cities using a DPSIR causal framework

机译：利用DPSIR因果框架估算社会经济发展社会经济发展对工业SO2排放的动态影响

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摘要

Much of the previous literature has identified limited influencing factors in relation to industrial SO2 emissions while ignoring the dynamic trends of these factors. Therefore, this paper promotes a Drivers-Pressures-State Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework to investigate the critical socioeconomic influencing factors of SO2 emissions in China at the city level. To solve the heteroscedasticity of the data, this paper analyzes multiple time points (two-year periods) from 2004 to 2016 based on the WLS model to capture the variations of these factors. The empirical results reveal that, during the study period, the urbanization process continuously contributes to the reduction of SO2 emissions in China through the scale effect of population aggregation; the positive contribution made by economic growth has steadily risen; and the optimization of the industrial structure has gradually decreased emissions, demonstrating the benefits of implementing effective desulfurization policies. The positive contribution of industrial land-use intensity is shown to have gradually decreased due to improvements in energy efficiency. The current government policies such as command-controlled environmental regulation and biased government technical input are found to have increased SO2 emissions. Improvements at the corporate level are shown to have helped to improve environmental pollution. The positive contribution effect of markets on SO2 emissions shows a decreasing trend with a degree of fluctuation. These findings provide a comprehensive insight into the task of understanding the key socioeconomic impact factors of industrial SO2 emissions and their dynamics against the backdrop of sustainable development.
机译：以前的大部分文献已经确定了与工业SO2排放相关的有限影响因素，同时忽略了这些因素的动态趋势。因此，本文促进了司机 - 压力 - 国家的影响 - 反应（DPSIR）框架，以研究中国在城市级别的SO2排放的关键社会经济影响因素。为了解决数据的异形体性，本文根据WLS模型从2004年到2016年分析了多个时间点（两年期），以捕获这些因素的变化。经验结果表明，在研究期间，城市化进程通过人口汇总的规模效应不断有助于减少中国的SO2排放量;经济增长的积极贡献稳步上升;而且产业结构的优化逐渐减少排放，展示了实施有效脱硫政策的益处。由于能源效率的改善，出现了工业土地利用强度的正贡献。目前的政府政策，如指挥控制的环境监管和偏见政府的技术投入增加了SO2排放量增加。企业一级的改进被证明有助于改善环境污染。市场对SO2排放的积极贡献效果显示出具有波动程度的降低趋势。这些调查结果对理解工业SO2排放的关键社会经济影响因素及其对可持续发展的背景的关键社会经济影响因素的任务提供了全面的洞察。

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