A robust crude oil supply chain design under uncertain demand and market price: A case study

Heidar Beiranvand; Mahdi Ghazanfari; Hadi Sahebi

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A robust crude oil supply chain design under uncertain demand and market price: A case study

机译：不确定需求和市场价格的强大原油供应链设计：一个案例研究

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In today's global economy, the oil industry plays a vital role and has an effect on most of countries within leading business environments, particularly in oil producing countries. To deal with the complexity of the crude oil supply network, a mathematical programming model is developed to formulate a crude oil supply chain. A robust optimization model is developed to maximize the profitability of the entire chain and take uncertainties of price and demand into account. The results show that according to the real case study data the robust optimization technique will increase the profitability of the crude oil supply chain.

机译：在今天的全球经济中，石油工业发挥着至关重要的作用，对主要商业环境中的大多数国家产生了影响，特别是在石油生产国内。为了处理原油供应网络的复杂性，开发了一种数学规划模型来制定原油供应链。开发了一种强大的优化模型，以最大限度地提高整个链的盈利能力，并考虑价格的不确定性。结果表明，根据真正的案例研究数据，强大的优化技术将增加原油供应链的盈利能力。

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《Oil & gas science and technology》 |2018年第2期|共15页
作者
Heidar Beiranvand; Mahdi Ghazanfari; Hadi Sahebi;
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作者单位

School of Industrial Engineering Iran University of Science and Technology Tehran Iran;

School of Industrial Engineering Iran University of Science and Technology Tehran Iran;

School of Industrial Engineering Iran University of Science and Technology Tehran Iran;

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正文语种 eng
中图分类化学工业;
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1. A robust crude oil supply chain design under uncertain demand and market price: A case study [J] . Heidar Beiranvand, Mahdi Ghazanfari, Hadi Sahebi Oil & gas science and technology . 2018,第2期

机译：不确定需求和市场价格的强大原油供应链设计：一个案例研究
2. LNG Supply & Demand to Ease through to 2015The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan (IEEJ), gave an outlook of LNG price until 2015 in its report regarding natural gas market situation dated July 10 that the price will basically follow a declining trend, mostly due to (i) the pressure over the spot LNG price coming from gradually growing oversupply and (ii) the drop in the crude oil price that is used to determine LNG prices under long-term contracts. [J] . TEX Energy Report . 2014,第2664期

机译：到2015年LNG供需状况将缓解日本能源经济研究所（IEEJ）在7月10日有关天然气市场情况的报告中给出了直到2015年LNG价格的前景，该价格基本上将遵循下降趋势，主要原因是（i）逐渐增加的供过于求对现货LNG价格造成压力，以及（ii）用于确定长期合同下LNG价格的原油价格下跌。
3. A MULTI-OBJECTIVE ROBUST OPERATION MODEL FORELECTRONIC MARKET ENABLED SUPPLY CHAIN WITH UNCERTAIN DEMANDS [J] . Jiawang XU, Xiaoyuan HUANG, Nina YAN 系统科学与系统工程学报（英文版） . 2007,第001期

机译：不确定需求的电动市场供应链多目标鲁棒运行模型
4. A Multi-objective Robust Operating Model for Supply Chain with Uncertain Market Supplies and Demands [C] . Jiawang Xu, Xiaoyuan Huang World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation . 2006

机译：具有不确定市场供应和需求的供应链多目标鲁棒操作模型
5. Crude oil price dynamics: A study on effects of market expectation and strategic supply on price movements. [D] . Jin, Xin. 2013

机译：原油价格动态：关于市场预期和战略供应对价格走势的影响的研究。
6. PNAS Plus: Accurate market price formation model with both supply-demand and trend-following for global food prices providing policy recommendations [O] . Marco Lagi, Yavni Bar-Yam, Karla Z. Bertrand, 2015

机译：PNAS Plus：准确的市场价格形成模型包括全球食品价格的供需和趋势追踪并提供政策建议
7. A robust crude oil supply chain design under uncertain demand and market price: A case study [O] . Heidar Beiranvand, Mahdi Ghazanfari, Hadi Sahebi, 2018

机译：不确定需求和市场价格下的强大原油供应链设计：一个案例研究

A robust crude oil supply chain design under uncertain demand and market price: A case study

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