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首页> 外文期刊>Pravention und Gesundheitsforderung: ein Programm fur eine bessere Sozial- und Gesundheitspolitik >With Immanuel Kant into the second wave of the current pandemic
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With Immanuel Kant into the second wave of the current pandemic

机译：随着Immanuel Kant进入目前大流行的第二波

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Background The efficacy of the most serious limitation of free movement of the German citizens since the end of the World War II and the Oil Crisis 1973 as intended countermeasure against the first wave of the pandemic is currently expected. The planning in regard to further action for the coming weeks and months has to take place now. Methods With the help of the principles of the German philosopher Kant, the thinking and planning is framed. Results The modelling by the researchers of the Imperial College, London, make an oversized second wave in autumn/winter 2020 most likely, if the current countermeasures are kept in place for too long. A timely relaxation of the measures is warranted to allow a staggered attack by the virus onto the population (German: "Durchseuchung") before the next influenza season 2020/2021 without overburdening the health care infrastructure especially the respiratory care bed capacity. The tempting perspective of a vaccine available before the second wave in autumn, should not lead to any delay in the intermittent relaxation of the countermeasures. A pre-licensure marginally tested vaccine would only be eligible for people with an anyway high risk in regard to SARS-CoV-2. Conclusions Further, more detailed and from each other independent models on the basis of data from Germany are urgently needed. Upon these a heterogeneous trans-hierarchical committee would need to discuss and make decisions in regard to differentiated relaxations of measures given the high remaining uncertainties.
机译：背景技术目前预期了自由第二次世界大战结束以来，德国公民自由流动的最严重限制的功效及其1973年的石油危机是针对大流行第一波的预期对策。目前，规划到未来几周和几个月的进一步行动。方法借助德国哲学家康德的原则，思考和规划被诬陷。结果伦敦帝国院校研究人员建模，在秋冬2020年在秋冬，最有可能的是，如果目前的对策保持太长。需要及时放松这些措施，以允许病毒对人口交错（德国人：“Durchseuchung”）在下一个流感季节2020/2011之前的攻击，而不会覆盖医疗保健基础设施，尤其是呼吸护理床容量。在秋季第二波之前有可用的疫苗的诱人的观点，不应导致间歇放松的任何延迟对策。许可证略微测试的疫苗只有资格在SARS-COV-2方面有任何高风险。结论进一步，更详细地根据德国的数据互相详细和从彼此的独立模型进行迫切需要。在这些异质的跨等级委员会需要讨论和作出决定，以鉴于高剩余的不确定性，措施的差异差异。

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