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Occurrence of More Heat Waves Over the Central East Coast of India in the Recent Warming Era

机译:在最近的温暖时代,印度中央东海岸的热浪发生

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摘要

The increased temperature and humidity in the atmosphere under global warming is the primary cause of the upsurge of heat waves in the tropical belt. The central east coast of India (CECI; Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana) is one of the most heavily affected areas in terms of casualties due to heat waves during pre-monsoon (March-May; MAM). Thus, there is a need to analyze the characteristics of pre-monsoon weekly maximum temperature (T-max) and associated heat waves over the CECI. In the present study, characteristics of weekly T-max from 23 March to 31 May over the CECI associated with heat waves have been analyzed using the India Meteorological Department gridded (1o x 1o) analysis data set of daily maximum temperature for the period 1980-2015. The recent changes in the weekly T-max and frequency of various heat-wave spells (1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-day) were also evaluated. The results suggest that the climatological weekly T-max along the coastal region is less than that in the interior parts for all 10 weeks, and the inter-annual variability and coefficient of variation exhibit similar patterns. The continuous increase in T-max and its variability is observed as the season progresses, leading to increased intensity and frequency of heat waves in most parts of the CECI. In the recent period, a notable increase in the weekly T-max and its variability has been observed over most parts of the CECI that has resulted in more heat waves. This study is very beneficial for determining the effects on various sectors for the planning of adaptation methodologies through appropriate strategies for a tolerable future over the CECI in the context of global warming.
机译:全球变暖下大气中的温度和湿度的增加是热带皮带中热波更高的主要原因。印度中央东海岸(CECI; Odisha,Andhra Pradesh和Telangana)是由于在季风前(5月至5月3月; MAM)期间由于热浪而受伤最严重的受损地区。因此,需要分析季风每周最高温度(T-MAX)的特性和在CECI上的相关热波。在本研究中,每周3月23日至31日的每周T-Max的特点已经使用印度气象部门网格(10 x 10)分析数据集1980年期间的每日最高温度(1O x 1o)分析数据集进行了分析了与热波相关的CECI。 2015年。还评估了最近每周T-MAT​​CH(1-,2-,3-和5天)的近期变化。结果表明,沿着沿海地区的气候周期T-Max在整个10周内的内部部分少于内部,并且年间变异性和变异系数表现出类似的模式。随着季节的进展,观察到T-Max的连续增加及其变异性,导致CECI大部分部分的热波强度和频率增加。在最近的时间内,在CECI的大多数部分导致更多热波的大多数部分,已经观察到每周T-Max的显着增加及其可变性。本研究非常有益于确定对各个部门的影响,通过在全球变暖的背景下通过适当的策略来规划适应方法的适应方法。

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