AbstractNowcasting is a new method of statistically classifying seismicity and seismic risk (Rundle et'/> Nowcasting Earthquakes: A Comparison of Induced Earthquakes in Oklahoma and at the Geysers, California
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Nowcasting Earthquakes: A Comparison of Induced Earthquakes in Oklahoma and at the Geysers, California

机译:诺卡利地震:加州奥克拉荷马州和喷泉诱发地震的比较

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AbstractNowcasting is a new method of statistically classifying seismicity and seismic risk (Rundle et al. 2016). In this paper, the method is applied to the induced seismicity at the Geysers geothermal region in California and the induced seismicity due to fluid injection in Oklahoma. Nowcasting utilizes the catalogs of seismicity in these regions. Two earthquake magnitudes are selected, one large say$$M_{lambda } ge 4$$Mλ4, and one small say$$M_{sigma } ge 2$$Mσ2. The method utilizes the number of small earthquakes that occurs between pairs of large earthquakes. The cumulative probability distribution of these values is obtained. The earthquake potential score (EPS) is defined by the number of small earthquakes that has occurred since the last large earthquake, the point where this number falls on the cumulative probability distribution of interevent counts defines the EPS. A major advantage of nowcasting is that it utilizes “natural time”, earthquake counts, between events rather than clock time. Thus,
机译: $$ M _ { LAMBDA} GE 4 $$ murow> λ 4 ,一个小说 $$ M _ { Sigma} GE 2 $$ m σ 2 。该方法利用在大地震对之间发生的小地震的数量。获得这些值的累积概率分布。地震潜在评分(EPS)由自上次大地震以来发生的小地震的数量定义,该数字落在彻底计数的累积概率分布上,定义了EPS。现在的主要优点是它利用“自然时期”,地震计数,事件之间而不是时钟时间。因此,

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