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首页> 外文期刊>The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene >The Economic Burden of Malaria: Revisiting the Evidence
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The Economic Burden of Malaria: Revisiting the Evidence

机译：疟疾的经济负担：重新审视证据

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A portion of the economics literature has long debated about the relative importance of historical, institutional, geographical, and health determinants of economic growth. In 2001, Gallup and Sachs quantified the association between malaria and the level and growth of per capita income over the period 1965-1995 in a cross-country regression framework. We took a contemporary look at Gallup and Sachs' seminal work in the context of significant progress in malaria control achieved globally since 2000. Focusing on the period 2000-2017, we used the latest data available on malaria case incidence and other determinants of economic growth, as well as macro-econometric methods that are now the professional norm. In our preferred specification using a fixed-effects model, a 10% decrease in malaria incidence was associated with an increase in income per capita of nearly 0.3% on average and a 0.11 percentage point faster per capita growth per annum. Greater average income gains were expected among higher burden countries and those with lower income. Growth of industries with the same level of labor intensity was found to be significantly slower in countries with higher malaria incidence. To analyze the causal impact of malaria on economic outcomes, we used malaria treatment failure and pyrethroid-only insecticide resistance as exogeneous instruments in two-stage least squares estimations. Despite several methodological challenges, as expected in these types of analyses, our findings confirm the intrinsic link between malaria and economic growth and underscore the importance of malaria control in the agenda for sustainable development.
机译：一部分经济学文献已经很长时间争论了经济增长的历史，机构，地理和健康决定因素的相对重要性。 2001年，Gallup和Sachs量化了1965 - 1995年在越野回归框架中的疟疾和人均收入之间的关联。在自2000年以来，在全球疟疾控制的重大进展中，我们采取了当代看着盖洛普和萨赫斯的精彩工作。专注于2000 - 2017年期间，我们使用了疟疾病例发病率和其他经济增长的其他决定因素的最新数据以及现在是专业规范的宏观计量方法。在我们使用固定效果模型的优选规范中，疟疾发病率降低10％与人均收入增加有关，平均收入近0.3％，每年的人均增长率为0.11个百分点。预期较高负担的国家和收入较低的人之间有更多的平均收益。发现具有相同劳动强度水平的行业的增长在疟疾发病率较高的国家中显着较慢。为了分析疟疾对经济结果的因果影响，我们使用疟疾治疗失败和拟除虫菊酯杀虫剂阻力作为两级最小二乘估算中的异构仪器。尽管采用了几种方法论挑战，但在这些类型的分析中，我们的研究结果证实了疟疾与经济增长之间的内在联系，并强调了疟疾控制在可持续发展议程中的重要性。

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