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Prediction of SO_2 Emission from Industrial Sector in Shanghai City based on Novel Discrete Grey Model

机译:基于新型离散灰色模型的上海市工业部门的SO_2排放预测

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摘要

In order to reduce the modeling errors of the discrete grey prediction model and increase the stability of the solution, this paper presents the fractional-order reverse accumulative discrete grey forecasting model(FORA-DGM (1,1) model). The perturbation bounds of the model was analyzed through the matrix perturbation theory. And it is proved that the FORA-DGM (1,1) model has the smaller perturbation bounds of solution than traditional discrete grey forecasting model Thus, it has good stability. Finally, the FORA-DGM (1,1) mode was applied to predict the SO_2 emission from industrial sector in Shanghai city. The modeling results show that the simulation error and prediction error of FORA-DGM (1,1) mode was less than traditional discrete grey forecasting mode, especially in the prediction aspects. And it verified the validity and practicability of the FORA-DGM (1,1) mode.
机译:为了降低离散灰度预测模型的建模误差并提高解决方案的稳定性,本文介绍了分数阶反向累积分立灰度预测模型(Fora-DGM(1,1)模型)。 通过矩阵扰动理论分析模型的扰动界。 事实证明,FORA-DGM(1,1)模型比传统的离散灰色预测模型具有较小的扰动界限,因此它具有良好的稳定性。 最后,应用FORA-DGM(1,1)模式来预测上海市工业部门的SO_2排放。 建模结果表明,FORA-DGM(1,1)模式的仿真误差和预测误差小于传统的离散灰度预测模式,尤其是在预测方面。 它验证了FORA-DGM(1,1)模式的有效性和实用性。

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  • 作者单位

    Postdoctoral Research Base School of Mathematical Science Henan Institute of Science and Technology Xinxiang 453003 P.R. China;

    Postdoctoral Research Base School of Mathematical Science Henan Institute of Science and Technology Xinxiang 453003 P.R. China;

    Postdoctoral Station College of Information and Management Science Henan Agricultural University Zhengzhou 450000 P.R. China;

    Xinke College Henan Institute of Science and Technology Xinxiang 453003 P.R. China;

    School of Economics and Management Nanjing University of Science and Technology Nanjing 210094 P.R. China;

    Postdoctoral Research Base School of Mathematical Science Henan Institute of Science and Technology Xinxiang 453003 P.R. China;

    Postdoctoral Research Base School of Mathematical Science Henan Institute of Science and Technology Xinxiang 453003 P.R. China;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 植物生理学;
  • 关键词

    Fractional-order; Reverse Accumulation; Perturbation Bounds; SO_2 Emission;

    机译:分数阶;反向累积;扰动界;SO_2排放;

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