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首页> 外文期刊>Journal for the scientific study of religion >Sacred Canopies or Religious Markets? The Effect of County-Level Religious Diversity on Later Changes in Religious Involvement
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Sacred Canopies or Religious Markets? The Effect of County-Level Religious Diversity on Later Changes in Religious Involvement

机译：神圣的檐篷或宗教市场？ 县级宗教多样性对宗教参与后来变化的影响

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Secularization theories, such as Berger's Sacred Canopy argument, hold that religious diversity leads to a decline in religious participation. Religious market models (e.g., Finke and Stark) argue the opposite. Voas, Olson, and Crockett found that nearly all of the vast research exploring this important question prior to 2002 was flawed due to a previously unrecognized noncausal statistical relationship between measures of religious diversity and measures of religious participation. Since 2002, this methodological issue has largely stymied research on this important topic. We first describe how, following Voas et al.'s recommendations, longitudinal models can overcome these problems. We then apply these methods to data measuring the religious composition of all U.S. counties found in the Religious Congregations and Membership Studies from 1980, 1990, 2000, and 2010. Using multilevel longitudinal regression models, we find that greater county-level religious diversity is followed by later declines in county-level religious participation rates. The negative effect size of religious diversity is large and robust to changes in the control variables and different methods of measuring religious diversity.
机译：伯杰神圣的独木舟论证等世俗化理论，认为宗教多样性导致宗教参与下降。宗教市场模型（例如，Finke和Stark）争论相反。 Voas，Olson和Crocket发现，在2002年之前，探索这一重要问题的几乎所有普遍的研究都存在缺陷，这是由于宗教多样性措施与宗教参与措施之间的以前未被识别的非共同统计关系。自2002年以来，这种方法论问题在很大程度上是对这一重要主题的研究。我们首先描述如何遵循VOA等人。的建议，纵向模型可以克服这些问题。然后，我们将这些方法应用于从1980年，1990年，2000年和2010年的宗教会众和会员研究中发现的所有美国县的宗教构成的数据。使用多级纵向回归模型，我们发现遵循更大的县级宗教多样性后来县级宗教参与率下降。宗教多样性的负面效应大小是对控制变量的变化以及衡量宗教多样性的不同方法的巨大和鲁棒。

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