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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development >International Pork Trade and foot-and-mouth disease
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International Pork Trade and foot-and-mouth disease

机译：国际猪肉贸易和口蹄疫

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摘要

International pork trade has been affected by two conflicting effects in recent years: lower trade barriers because of free trade agreements and trade disruptions caused by disease outbreaks. This study investigates how global pork trade is affected by foot-and-mouth disease among major exporting/importing countries. The 41 countries included in this analysis account for 99% of world pork exports and 92% of world pork imports. A Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator with a series of controlled fixed effects in the gravity equation was utilized. Results were statistically confirmed that pork exports fall when an exporting country reports foot-and-mouth disease. Exporters with a vaccination policy suffer larger negative impacts than thosewith a slaughter policy. Pork importers that report FMD and institute a slaughter policy will import more pork, but importers with a vaccination policy will import less pork.
机译：近年来，国际猪肉贸易受到两次相互矛盾的影响：由于疾病爆发造成的自由贸易协定和贸易中断，贸易壁垒较低。 本研究调查了各大出口/进口国之间的口蹄疫如何影响全球猪肉贸易。 该分析中包含的41个国家占世界猪肉出口的99％，占世界猪肉进口的92％。 利用了具有在重力方程中具有一系列受控固定效果的伪泊松最大可能性（PPML）估计。 结果在统计上证实，当出口国报告口蹄疫时，猪肉出口落下。 具有疫苗接种政策的出口商遭受较大的负面影响，而不是屠宰政策。 猪肉进口商报告FMD和研究所屠杀政策将进口更多的猪肉，但进口商具有疫苗接种政策将进口较少的猪肉。

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