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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development >Exchange Rate Volatility and Agricultural Trade Flows: The Case of the United States and OECD Countries*
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Exchange Rate Volatility and Agricultural Trade Flows: The Case of the United States and OECD Countries*

机译：汇率波动和农业贸易流量：美国和经合组织国家的案例*

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摘要

This study documents the effect of exchange rate volatility and the real exchange rate on bilateral agricultural trade flows between the United States and OECD countries. In addition, implementation of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) and use of the Euroas a national currency are investigated to determine their impacts. The Gravity Model was applied to bilateral trade flow panel data from 1970 to 2010. Results show that exchange rate volatility and the real exchange rate have a statistically significantand negative effect on both agricultural and non-agricultural trade flows. Exchange rate volatility is found to have a greater impact on the agricultural sector, while the real exchange rate has a greater impact on the non-agricultural sector. Effects of FTAs and the Euro are always found to be positive, with FTAs having a greater impact on the agricultural sector and the Euro on the non-agricultural sector.
机译：本研究记录了美国和经合组织各国之间双边农业贸易流量的汇率波动与实际汇率的影响。 此外，还调查了自由贸易协定（FTA）和使用EUROA的使用，以确定其影响。 1970年至2010年的重力模型应用于双边贸易流域数据。结果表明，汇率波动和实际汇率对农业和非农业贸易流动有统计上显着的影响。 发现汇率波动率对农业部门产生了更大的影响，而实际汇率对非农业部门产生了更大的影响。 FTA和欧元的影响总是被发现是积极的，自由贸易协定对农业部门和非农业部门的欧元影响更大。

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