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Assessing the potential impact of limited public health resources on the spread and control of typhoid

机译:评估公共卫生资源有限的潜在影响对伤寒的传播和控制

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摘要

Typhoid fever is a systemic infection caused by Salmonella Typhi and occurs predominantly in association with poor sanitation and lack of clean drinking water. Despite recent progress in water and sanitation coverage, the disease remains a substantial public health problem in many developing countries. A mathematical model for the spread of typhoid has been formulated using non linear ordinary differential equations. The model includes a special treatment function to assess the effects of limited treatment resources on the spread of typhoid. It is shown that the model has multiple equilibria and using the center manifold theory, the model exhibits the phenomenon of backward bifurcation whose implications are discussed. The results suggest the need for comprehensive and accessible treatment facilities to curtail typhoid infection.
机译:伤寒发烧是由沙门氏菌Typhi引起的全身感染,主要与良好的卫生和缺乏清洁的饮用水相关联。 尽管最近的水和卫生覆盖范围,但许多发展中国家仍然是一个大量的公共卫生问题。 使用非线性常微分方程配制了一种用于伤寒扩散的数学模型。 该模型包括特殊的处理功能,以评估有限处理资源对伤寒吐痰的影响。 结果表明,该模型具有多重均衡,并使用中心歧管理论,该模型表现出讨论其影响的后向分叉现象。 结果表明需要缩短伤害伤寒感染的全面和可访问的治疗设施。

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