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Can extreme events be an opportunity? Depopulation and resilience of rural communities in Central Italy after the 1997 earthquake

机译:极端事件可以是一个机会吗? 1997年地震后意大利中部农村社区的划衡与恢复

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摘要

Socio-Natural Disasters are a global issue that need context-specific solutions. Similar hazards could indeed result in different (or no) disasters depending on the territorial peculiarities of the area they affect. Italy is an interesting case in this respect due to its physical geography. Three out of the four major seismic events of the last decades hit the rural areas of the country, in particular Central Apennines - territories that have been suffering from decades-old processes of ageing and depopulation. Within the conceptual framework of Community Resilience, our paper performs a time-sensitive quantitative analysis designed to observe resilience dynamics along different degrees of rurality in the area hit by the 1997 earthquake in Central Italy. In details, we adopt a quasi-experimental strategy, using population variation as a proxy for community resilience. We find that the disaster had a stabilizing effect on the affected communities, which have depopulated at a slower pace than the control group after the event.
机译:社会自然灾害是一个需要特定于背景解决方案的全球问题。根据其影响的区域的领土特性,类似的危险确实可能导致不同(或否)灾害。由于其物理地理,意大利是一个有趣的案例。过去几十年的四个主要地震事件中的三个突破了该国的农村地区,特别是中央亚平尼人民 - 领土,这些领土遭受了数十年的老龄化和贬值。在社区恢复力的概念框架内,我们的论文表现了一个时间敏感的定量分析,旨在沿着1997年地震在意大利的1997年地震袭击地区的不同风格中观察恢复力动态。详细信息,我们采用了一种准实验策略,使用人口变异作为社区恢复力的代理。我们发现,灾害对受影响的社区产生了稳定的影响,这些社区在比对照组速度较慢的速度下减少。

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